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Parsing China's New Politburo

The seven men who embody the Chinese Communist Party's "fifth generation" of leadership revealed themselves to the world Thursday morning. Standing on numbers stencilled on the carpet to denote their position in the hierarchy, they submitted to a few potted questions from the media and then retired behind the screen, leaving China watchers to speculate about what the lineup means for future policy.

The consensus is that the hardliners defeated reformers, and political liberalization is unlikely. While there is some basis for this assessment, it's important to remember that the experts are wrong all the time. Outgoing leader Hu Jintao.

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